Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 11.300186 13.232316 15.345068 17.820214 20.633458 23.724421 27.370198
2025-06-29 7.746388 10.272605 13.332025 17.277686 22.195655 28.085170 35.629256
2025-07-06 5.611759 8.244177 11.706943 16.524025 22.968569 31.200326 42.401393
2025-07-13 4.788309 7.637657 11.639514 17.543310 25.878353 37.049670 52.939955
2025-07-20 4.150932 7.123793 11.546621 18.411125 28.556000 42.712097 63.600131
2025-07-27 3.580485 6.579819 11.285968 18.935461 30.713883 47.746627 73.699971
2025-08-03 3.045298 5.979633 10.824735 19.051279 32.212045 51.880173 82.740961
2025-08-10 2.526533 5.302175 10.123436 18.666934 32.849850 54.723202 90.011848
2025-08-17 2.087759 4.679873 9.411665 18.150493 33.179645 57.058287 96.599609
2025-08-24 1.720504 4.118683 8.716382 17.556314 33.285423 58.995062 102.630505
2025-08-31 1.395754 3.574665 7.965269 16.754692 32.930259 60.116143 107.378135
2025-09-07 1.260168 3.407904 7.911077 17.217319 34.800682 64.996276 118.468102
2025-09-14 1.091239 3.150111 7.675487 17.383630 36.296284 69.592030 129.813989
2025-09-21 0.898964 2.795109 7.189834 17.016866 36.815096 72.625350 138.892162
2025-09-28 0.717087 2.415025 6.578318 16.300916 36.581505 74.295301 145.725902
2025-10-05 0.671641 2.391091 6.773394 17.313475 39.818750 82.450070 164.447530
2025-10-12 0.621244 2.339873 6.893726 18.172419 42.816610 90.353821 183.172520
2025-10-19 0.559085 2.236213 6.866333 18.691049 45.153719 97.161435 200.286887
2025-10-26 0.487125 2.080126 6.676704 18.805603 46.643434 102.437002 214.864459
2025-11-02 0.406891 1.869766 6.302621 18.425560 47.022997 105.562673 225.576075
2025-11-09 0.335428 1.664377 5.900181 17.914912 47.053245 107.977711 235.048078
2025-11-16 0.273759 1.471451 5.492259 17.327425 46.840365 109.866163 243.581802
2025-11-23 0.217760 1.276577 5.033999 16.534880 46.060897 110.512560 249.682064